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+--- Thread: Make your election percentage prediction (/showthread.php?tid=143968)
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - $tevie - 11-06-2012
I'm beginning to think that when I guessed the electoral votes, I was cautious to the point of absurdity. :-)
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - rankandfile - 11-06-2012
Obama 332 Romney 206
I won't venture a guess about the percentage vote due to the problems in the East coast blue states. I really think the spread is larger for Obama than generally predicted. But then, what do I know about predicting elections?
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - Ted King - 11-06-2012
$tevie wrote:
Here, Ted, read Nate's graphs and try to smile:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
:-)
Yeah, I've been following Nate assiduously. I just have a hunch that his model has within it assumptions that have the affect of weighting the mathematics a bit too much in favor of Obama. I will be overjoyed if I'm wrong. That would make me smile - after I regain consciousness after having passed out from holding my breath.
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - $tevie - 11-06-2012
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - Black Tea - 11-06-2012
Heavy Republican turnout, looks like 7.5 will be good.