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+--- Thread: Make your election percentage prediction (/showthread.php?tid=143968)
Make your election percentage prediction - Black Tea - 11-05-2012
Romney by 5%.
Though I think it will be closer to 7.5%.
Won't be close folks.
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - voodoopenguin - 11-05-2012
Black Tea wrote:
Won't be close folks.
Are you saying the result won't be close or your prediction won't be close?
Paul
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - Ca Bob - 11-05-2012
Black Tea wrote:
Romney by 5%.
Though I think it will be closer to 7.5%.
Won't be close folks.
The next day, it will be demonstrated that homeopathy works and professional wrestling is real.
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - decay - 11-05-2012
277 Obama
261 Romney
(fixed, sorry)
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - hal - 11-05-2012
5-7.5%??
you're out of your mind! No way Romney loses by THAT much.
or did you mean .5 - .75% - that would make a lot more sense...
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - Black - 11-05-2012
Obama 53%.
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - beagledave - 11-05-2012
I'll go with Nate with the split on this one. The popular vote spread will be smaller than the electoral vote spread because of a large number of "excess" Romney votes in the deep south. In places in the deep south and Appalachia where Obama is behind, he may be behind by 20 or 30 percentage points. In places where Obama is ahead, it is never by more than 10%. But he is ahead in enough swing states to win the electoral college by a significant amount.
Obama: 50.6%
Romney: 48.5%
My earlier prediction of EV was 294 for Obama (if he gets Colorado, 303).
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - Lemon Drop - 11-06-2012
In places where Obama is ahead, it is never by more than 10%.
California
New York
Illinois
Hawaii
Washington
Vermont
These are some of the places where Obama is ahead by WAY more than 10. Where did that stat come from? I hope not Nate.
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - Gutenberg - 11-06-2012
Obama gets 50.1 percent, Romney 49.8, Mickey Mouse, Newt Gingrich, Ralph Nader and Ron Paul the other .1 percent.
Re: Make your election percentage prediction - $tevie - 11-06-2012
I'll go with Nate Silver, too, on this one. Maybe a teeny weeny bit higher for Obama and a teeny weeny bit lower for Romney, with a teeny weeny bit more for all the Also Rans.