11-01-2008, 03:19 PM
I'm very confident Obama will be elected. I have thought for a long time that it would be a fairly narrow "victory" (1-2%), but with the economy tanking so badly he may win by more than a couple of percent. Electoral College wise, I think he will get anywhere from the 280's on the low side to the mid-300's on the higher end. Nothing prescient about saying that, though. :-)
What I think is interesting is that one of the most beneficial aspects of Obama becoming president will be how positively he is generally viewed throughout the world. That will have a profound impact for the US and the rest of the world. And yet it is not mentioned in the campaign. I wonder why. My suspicion is that Obama is concerned that highlighting his popularity worldwide could be used by McCain's campaign to reinforce the (I think, bogus) notion that he is more interested in foreign interests than US interests (as though it's a zero sum game with doing what is better for the world necessarily implying that the US would be worse off). Yet, McCain himself doesn't seem to want to be talking about the possibility that Obama may be seen as very popular throughout the world because to do so would imply he wouldn't be.
It has been suggested that Obama may be a "transformative" political figure - even by some notable Republicans. That may very well turn out to be the case when it comes to domestic issues, but I think it will almost surely be the case with respect to relationships with much of the rest of the world.
I'd be interested to hear what others think of this.
What I think is interesting is that one of the most beneficial aspects of Obama becoming president will be how positively he is generally viewed throughout the world. That will have a profound impact for the US and the rest of the world. And yet it is not mentioned in the campaign. I wonder why. My suspicion is that Obama is concerned that highlighting his popularity worldwide could be used by McCain's campaign to reinforce the (I think, bogus) notion that he is more interested in foreign interests than US interests (as though it's a zero sum game with doing what is better for the world necessarily implying that the US would be worse off). Yet, McCain himself doesn't seem to want to be talking about the possibility that Obama may be seen as very popular throughout the world because to do so would imply he wouldn't be.
It has been suggested that Obama may be a "transformative" political figure - even by some notable Republicans. That may very well turn out to be the case when it comes to domestic issues, but I think it will almost surely be the case with respect to relationships with much of the rest of the world.
I'd be interested to hear what others think of this.