Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight has forecasted...

[graylocks]

i listened to the entire 538 podcast today. that’s not the conclusion Silver drew. he said there was about a 29% chance of the dems taking the Senate which, weirdly enough, what he predicated 45’s chances of winning in 2016 at a time when the 45 campaign predicted they had a 30% chance of winning. 538 said it would more likely be a 50/50 split.