05-07-2023, 02:57 PM
Lemon Drop wrote:
Too early for 2024 predictions. We don't know who will be on the GOP ticket. Nikki Haley has raked in a lot of cash over the past 2 years, corporations and wealthy individual donors love her. They do not love DeSantis, or Pence.
I'm sure the White House wants Trump as their opponent again, but it could be someone who pulls away the Republicans who voted for Biden in 2020. If that happens, then yeah the Senate will go too.
I think vision63's graphic in the OP is spot on about the seats most likely to be open to change. I do think that the broad sentiment on things like abortion rights will make it more likely than not that Democrats will keep seats in Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Ohio (Tester in Montana is kinda a unique thing) but specific circumstances in Arizona and West Virginia make them much less likely to stay in the Democratic column in spite of any widespread sentiments.