10-19-2008, 02:56 PM
There just seems to be a long term "built in" approximately 5% advantage in the polls for Obama with occasional dips and expansions of that lead. I suspect that it will continue that way right up to the election. For those of us who want Obama to win, on election night I don't think we ought to get too concerned if he doesn't win Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina or Florida - though I imagine the TV analysts will play up the drama if it unfolds that way. As I've said before here, if none of those states (Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina or Florida) goes for Obama there is still Colorado and that probably will go for him and be enough to make him president.