Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
"The economy appears to be doing just fine"
#1
Last quarter GDP numbers are out, and they look pretty darn good to economists (and the markets).

The Bureau of Economic Analysis's advance estimate of third quarter US gross domestic product (GDP) showed the economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.8% during the period, [just] below the 2.9% growth expected by economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

...While slightly below expectations, several economists noted the third quarter GDP print reflected strong economic growth. Capital Economics chief North America economist Paul Ashworth noted the report shows an economy growing at a solid pace.

(...Meanwhile, the "core" Personal Consumption Expenditures index, which excludes the volatile food and energy categories, grew by [just] 2.2% in the second quarter...)

"Overall, the US economy appears to be doing just fine," Ashworth wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday.

..."Though GDP is backward-looking, it sends a clear message that the economy is doing well, and inflation is moderating, good news for the Federal Reserve," Oxford Economics chief US economist Ryan Sweet wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday.

Sweet added, "Trend growth in GDP remains solid, reducing the risk of a sudden and significant increase in layoffs. This increases our conviction in our above-consensus forecast for growth next year."

This is obviously fake news, as the majority of the country has been convinced that the economy is in only fair to poor shape. (Edit: per last night’s news, 50% - every Trump voter, plus a couple others - say “poor” (!))

Oddly, the markets, economists, and the rest of the world do not seem to understand the true, dismal state of the economy- poor saps. While the cost of crude oil is languishing below $70, and the price of gas is dropping, the NASDAQ is setting new all-time records daily, and the S&P 500 and Dow are not far from the same.

How much more of this Bidenomic Harris-nomic carnage can we endure?
Reply
#2
Addendum: Mea culpa.

Not everything is up today.
Reply
#3
Deleted because it was too off the topic in the OP.
Reply
#4
I forgot to add: YMMV, of course, depending on your particular circumstances.
Reply
#5
CNN chimes in:

comes after the economy added a whopping 254,000 jobs in September, inflation is a whisper away from the Federal Reserve’s 2% target and consumer sentiment jumped this month by the fastest clip since March 2021, according to The Conference Board — all signs of a robust economy.

“I think we should declare a soft landing now,” said James Bullard, former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, in an interview with CNN earlier this month.
What "landing"? Is it really a "landing" if it's so soft hardly anyone felt the bump (at least in regards to GDP and employment)?

Some more headlines:

Politico:

`Surprisingly strong': Economy shows robust growth in final report before election
The rise in the GDP is far from the expectations of many economists from earlier this year, many of whom had predicted a recession during the election year.

Reuters:

US economy seen shining on election eve amid robust consumer spending

LA Times:

U.S. economic growth remains impressive. It’s the envy of the world, except at home

...and just so no one accuses me of residing in my leftist bubble,

Faux Business:

US economy grew 2.8% in the third quarter, slower than expected

Well, I suppose so - depending on who you read, this first estimate was 0.1 or 0.2% below analysts average prediction

(Debbie Downer)
Reply
#6
Microsoft set to report quarterly results after the close

Meta set to report Q3 earnings after the bell
Reply
#7
Yeah, truth is irrelevant.
It’s gone from “spinning the truth” to just flat-out lies.
As far as half the population is concerned, we’re teetering in the edge of a financial abyss, and only conservative might and righteousness can pull us back.
Reply
#8
But gas was 10 cents a gallon when Trump was preznit!

And now I have to pay $50 for a dozen eggs!

I can barely make the payment on my $100,000 PU truck!
Reply
#9
pdq wrote:
I forgot to add: YMMV, of course, depending on your particular circumstances.

Even though my wife stepped down from a director position in the school system to just an aid for her last 2 years before being 100% vested in the retirement plan, we are in our best financial position ever.
Part good choices, part good economy.

Dave
Welcome to Dave's BBQ!

Many have eaten here....

Few have died
Reply
#10
I got no complaints. In fact, the administration's new rule on salary thresholds for exemption from overtime have given the household budget a welcome little lift.
Reply


Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)