Make your election percentage prediction

[$tevie]

I'm beginning to think that when I guessed the electoral votes, I was cautious to the point of absurdity. :-)

[rankandfile]

Obama 332 Romney 206

I won't venture a guess about the percentage vote due to the problems in the East coast blue states. I really think the spread is larger for Obama than generally predicted. But then, what do I know about predicting elections?

[Ted King]

$tevie wrote:
Here, Ted, read Nate's graphs and try to smile:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

:-)

Yeah, I've been following Nate assiduously. I just have a hunch that his model has within it assumptions that have the affect of weighting the mathematics a bit too much in favor of Obama. I will be overjoyed if I'm wrong. That would make me smile - after I regain consciousness after having passed out from holding my breath.

[$tevie]

[Black Tea]

Heavy Republican turnout, looks like 7.5 will be good.