02-13-2012, 08:34 PM
beagledave wrote:
[quote=$tevie]
Santorum has 44 delegates. Romney has 98. If Santorum gets ALL of Michigan's delegates he'll have 74. How could this possibly mean a race which requires 1,144 delegates is over?
I'm saying that if Romney wins Michigan and Ohio, I don't see a legitimate path for Santorum (or anyone else) to defeat him over the course of the process.
If Santorum wins, especially Michigan, things become more interesting in terms of the feeling of inevitability about Romney.
I think that Romney is still regarded as more "electable" by most movers and shakers in the GOP (see Grace's RedState bit as an example)
But if Romney loses Michigan and Ohio, things get more interesting.
Most definitely - because if that happens, and it's already happening to some extent, the money will move away from Romney. Santorum was able to pull in $3 million in just a couple of days after his triple header last week. This is a guy who had $180.42 in the bank when Romney had $19 million, and yet still beat him.
I find it incredible, but Santorum has now pulled ahead in national polling, with 4 major polls averaged:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/...-1452.html
Yes other "not Romneys" had their moments in the sun, but not while people were actually voting. This is different. Gingrich was easy to attack after South Carolina because all you have to do is talk about his own history and his own behavior and personality. It's not quite so easy with Santorum, who is doing a good job of turning this into David v. Goliath. And it's weird to have a vanilla frontrunner like Romney who does not excite people v. an extremist whiner who is somehow likeable. Weird!