Make your election percentage prediction

[beagledave]

I'll go with Nate with the split on this one. The popular vote spread will be smaller than the electoral vote spread because of a large number of "excess" Romney votes in the deep south. In places in the deep south and Appalachia where Obama is behind, he may be behind by 20 or 30 percentage points. In places where Obama is ahead, it is never by more than 10%. But he is ahead in enough swing states to win the electoral college by a significant amount.

Obama: 50.6%
Romney: 48.5%

My earlier prediction of EV was 294 for Obama (if he gets Colorado, 303).