11-06-2012, 04:03 AM
After Obama's disastrous first debate performance I felt like I've had to figuratively hold my breath until the election. That's why I decided to stop posting to this forum shortly after that debate.
I'm still holding my breath. I think Obama will win the the popular vote by somewhere between 0.5% to 1.0% I won't be astonished if either Obama wins by more than 1% or if Romney wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college. I will be surprised if Romney wins both the popular vote and the electoral college. But there certainly is a reasonably strong possibility that Romney will win them both.
If Romney does win, I will be upset but hopeful. I will be upset because I think Romney - driven by the puritanism of the Tea Partiers - will do all kinds of things that will cause a lot of what I consider to be unnecessary suffering by children, and adults who have led reasonably responsible lives. But if Romney wins the presidency then since what is important to me is minimizing unnecessary suffering, I will hope that what Romney and the Republicans manage to get implemented will work well toward minimizing unnecessary suffering. I'm a partisan because I think that Romney's approach will surely be wrong, but I'm not so much a partisan that I hope that whatever Romney manages to get done if he is elected will make things worse. I would just be really afraid that that is what he would do.
Edit: Electoral college wise I don't have much of a gut feeling. I think Obama's numbers will fall somewhere between the 270 he needs to a bit over 300. I know that's pretty weak as predictions go.
I'm still holding my breath. I think Obama will win the the popular vote by somewhere between 0.5% to 1.0% I won't be astonished if either Obama wins by more than 1% or if Romney wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college. I will be surprised if Romney wins both the popular vote and the electoral college. But there certainly is a reasonably strong possibility that Romney will win them both.
If Romney does win, I will be upset but hopeful. I will be upset because I think Romney - driven by the puritanism of the Tea Partiers - will do all kinds of things that will cause a lot of what I consider to be unnecessary suffering by children, and adults who have led reasonably responsible lives. But if Romney wins the presidency then since what is important to me is minimizing unnecessary suffering, I will hope that what Romney and the Republicans manage to get implemented will work well toward minimizing unnecessary suffering. I'm a partisan because I think that Romney's approach will surely be wrong, but I'm not so much a partisan that I hope that whatever Romney manages to get done if he is elected will make things worse. I would just be really afraid that that is what he would do.
Edit: Electoral college wise I don't have much of a gut feeling. I think Obama's numbers will fall somewhere between the 270 he needs to a bit over 300. I know that's pretty weak as predictions go.