Make your election percentage prediction

[Black Tea]

Romney by 5%.

Though I think it will be closer to 7.5%.

Won't be close folks.

[voodoopenguin]

Black Tea wrote:
Won't be close folks.

Are you saying the result won't be close or your prediction won't be close?

Paul

[Ca Bob]

Black Tea wrote:
Romney by 5%.

Though I think it will be closer to 7.5%.

Won't be close folks.

The next day, it will be demonstrated that homeopathy works and professional wrestling is real.

[decay]

277 Obama
261 Romney

(fixed, sorry)

[hal]

5-7.5%??

you're out of your mind! No way Romney loses by THAT much.

or did you mean .5 - .75% - that would make a lot more sense...

[Black]

Obama 53%.

[beagledave]

I'll go with Nate with the split on this one. The popular vote spread will be smaller than the electoral vote spread because of a large number of "excess" Romney votes in the deep south. In places in the deep south and Appalachia where Obama is behind, he may be behind by 20 or 30 percentage points. In places where Obama is ahead, it is never by more than 10%. But he is ahead in enough swing states to win the electoral college by a significant amount.

Obama: 50.6%
Romney: 48.5%

My earlier prediction of EV was 294 for Obama (if he gets Colorado, 303).

[Lemon Drop]

In places where Obama is ahead, it is never by more than 10%.

California
New York
Illinois
Hawaii
Washington
Vermont

These are some of the places where Obama is ahead by WAY more than 10. Where did that stat come from? I hope not Nate.

[Gutenberg]

Obama gets 50.1 percent, Romney 49.8, Mickey Mouse, Newt Gingrich, Ralph Nader and Ron Paul the other .1 percent.

[$tevie]

I'll go with Nate Silver, too, on this one. Maybe a teeny weeny bit higher for Obama and a teeny weeny bit lower for Romney, with a teeny weeny bit more for all the Also Rans.